Early Oscar Best Picture Predictions: Where Are the Frontrunners?

This year’s awards race has no strikes, no pandemic and no postponed or canceled awards shows.

At this point, it also has no real frontrunners.

So far, 2024 has been a down year at the box office and a confusing year on the film festival circuit. Before the fall festivals, the Oscar race was something of a waiting game, with everybody curious about the potential contenders that would be unveiled in Venice, Telluride and Toronto.

And now that those festivals have run their course, it’s a different kind of waiting game: waiting to see which films can start feeling like serious contenders rather than long-to-medium shots.

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